Rockstar has officially dated GTA 6 for release in 2025, but there was some optimism evidenced by parent company Take-Two’s financials which suggested the title may arrive early next year. However, updated guidance from the organisation suggests that’s no longer the case, as discussed by Wedbush Securities analysts Nick McCay and Michael Pachter.
Late last week, the firm revised its outlook for the coming fiscal year, which runs from 1st April, 2024 through 31st March, 2025. This downturn of estimated income – from an originally expected $8 billion to $7 billion – suggests Rockstar’s highly anticipated sequel won’t launch early next year. “The drop makes us almost certain that GTA 6 will not be releasing next fiscal year,” the aforementioned analysts said.
However, they added that there’s “no reason to believe the game has slipped out of calendar 2025, but it is reasonable to assume that it will launch later in the year”. GTA games don’t tend to have defined launch windows, as GTA 4 deployed in April while GTA 5 was September. We suspect it’ll drop once the developer’s done, but hopefully we get more insight into exactly when that’ll be later this year.
[source videogameschronicle.com]
Comments 16
I've played every mainline GTA game since 2 and I have never been disappointed yet. Rockstar have earned my respect enough for me to say that it'll be well worth the wait. Get it right, not get it quick. Simple as that.
This is rubbish analyst
Take Two downgraded their prediction from 8 billion to 7 billion, this year prediction is 5-5,5billion.
There is no any indication that Take two portfolio will generate those extra 2 billions out of existing library.
It shows that more likely GTA 6 will be released at the end of March right before April.
Unless Take two expects to acquire big company soon.
We suspect it’ll drop once the developer’s done
Seriously??? do these people actually get paid for these predictions.
Obviously it'll drop once they've finished, it won't launch before it's finished and they sure as hell aren't going to just shelve it once they've finished
Hi, analysts.
Take-Two's latest earnings report - "77 million Gen 9 consoles outstanding worldwide, as of 31st December 2023."
If they had to lower sales expectations after initially assuming more consoles would be in play for them then they'd have to lower that 8 Billion, somehwat. If they initially thought they could sneak it on to PS4 or Series S too and have since been told by the devs that, no, no they can't, they would have to significantly lower that number again.
This is just random stuff based off another article here, and has as much value as anything you have said, analysts. So, shush now 😅
But yes, It'll release when it releases. FACT!
It's obvious that it will be releasing towards the end of 2025 and anything else is illogical to think.
A) the polishing phase is usually around 12-24 months for AAA games
B) T2 would have to launch the game in Late/24 January 25 for it to have any real shareholder impact on FY25/25
C) The turnover downgrade is a fair indication that something has been removed/taken out of FY24/25 but unsure if this is GTA 6 or another project/s.
D) FY25/26 will have a much better shareholder outcomes if the game launches in later late autumn/early winter 2025.
E) T2's primary focus is shareholder appeasement so they will plan the launch date of the game when it is ready and suits them financially
@Darylb88 probably lol. GTA 5 made over $1billion income in 5 days we must remember.
So a random 1$billion reduction seems really quite low for a GTA 6 delay anyway, unless the suits were literally trying to force it out by March 31st 2025 to end that fiscal year strong, but now it is clear to them it can't release until much later.
Which, I suppose would fit the profile of those number loving suits. And would be a bit sad if that was the initial plan to force it out to meet that deadline just to get a shiny number in both fiscal years.
Realistically I expect Rockstar Games/ Take Two to announce a release window for GTA 6 by the end of this year. However, in typical Rockstar fashion the game will probably be delayed closer to the release window to “allow more time for polish” and we’ll probably see the game release in September/October 2025.
@Ravix I would love to be wrong so I can play the game sooner but business like T2 are very calculated when it comes to finances.
Being pushed out of March 25 to FY25/26 does seem to fit the reduction of 1Bn quite well. We could get a summer launch but my gut says September onwards.
@Darylb88 then what will generate 2 extra billions in next year till April 2025? Any ideas?
@Ravix it actually made 800m in its first day, with the final 200m only taking 48 hours after that. Still makes a fortune to this day through game sales alone, crazy behemoth of a series.
@REALAIS It should become more apparent in the summer. T2 own some huge franchises that can net big turnover. They may make further profit and turnover downgrades when we actually get into FY24/25. A early 2025 release of GTA 6 would net a lot more than 2Bn by April 2025.
@REALAIS Maybe 2K gets the FIFA license?
Cool i will be cool with that.grand theft auto 6 is going to be a legendary instant classic.word up son
@Grumblevolcano FIFA licence is zero value. EA FC is completely same game, because players, teams, league licence is seperate things and FC rules with those licenses. Even Konami couldnt do nothing. And playing with fake teams/players is not enticing.
@SgtTruth
Yeah, at this rate, I might have died of old age, before GTA VII comes out
It will release end of April because it will boost Take Twos financial results for 2025-26 fiscal and will send share points soaring
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